While Trump's policy of supporting Israel is beyond question, his unpredictable governing style may lead to unexpected outcomes for the Middle East.
This is noted by Raja Khalidi, a development economist in Ramallah, in Foreign Affairs. During his campaign, Trump claimed he could "resolve" the Middle East situation, yet his specific plans remained unclear. Upon returning to the White House, he will face numerous challenges, ranging from the humanitarian crisis in Gaza to complex relations with Arab countries.
As the expert writes, while many Palestinians do not anticipate any changes in their relationship with Trump, there is hope that his unpredictability and deal-making inclination could bring about some positive shifts.
Trump has already established himself as a leader unafraid to take responsibility for controversial decisions. During his first term, he recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and annexed parts of Palestinian territories. At the same time, his "deal of the century," which favored Israeli interests, was rejected by Palestinians as it stripped them of their sovereignty rights.
Regional dynamics have shifted since Trump left office. Israel has achieved significant military successes, but U.S. support in this context has raised critical questions among Arab countries. The article's author suggests that Trump may attempt to revive his "deal of the century" plan for Israel and Palestine. However, the new realities in the Middle East might open up opportunities for Trump to alter his approach, as most Arab nations appear willing to reach an agreement with Israel if it brings them security and economic benefits.
"After all the suffering endured by the Palestinians, their likely future is one of 'neither war nor peace': a low level of resistance and repression, confrontation with encroaching Israeli settlements, minimal humanitarian aid and reconstruction, as well as a single state resembling apartheid," the publication concludes.
Source: foreignaffairs.