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Atmospheric fronts are moving in from the northwest. What weather can Ukrainians expect at the beginning of November?

In early November 2024, meteorologists are predicting a noticeable drop in atmospheric pressure, along with the arrival of weather fronts from the north and northwest into Ukraine.
Северо-западные атмосферные фронты: какую погоду предсказывают для Украины в начале ноября?

At the beginning of November 2024, forecasters predict a certain decrease in atmospheric pressure and the arrival of atmospheric fronts from the north and northwest to the territory of Ukraine.

This was stated by the meteorologist of the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center Natalia Ptukha in a comment to RBK-Ukraine.

What to Expect in the Last Days of October

According to the expert, in the near future, weather without precipitation will prevail in Ukraine (in most regions), with nighttime temperatures ranging from 2 to 10 degrees Celsius.

Daytime air temperatures may reach 9-14°C (in some areas, even 18 degrees above zero).

Meanwhile, starting Thursday, October 31, light rain is possible across almost the entire territory of Ukraine (except for the southern part).

"However, they will be quite localized. There will be more of that autumn cloudiness," Ptukha clarified.

She explained that during this period, the synoptic situation will begin to change.

"Currently, gradually, over the course of this week, the temperature (during the day, - Ed.) will decrease slightly. If today it is still up to +15, then later, on average, in the northern and western regions - during the daytime it will already be 11-12... From the weekend - 8-9 degrees above zero," the expert reported.

At the same time, nighttime temperatures in Ukraine (except for the west and Crimea) are likely to drop to 0-5 degrees Celsius.

What to Expect in the First Days of November

"If we are currently predominantly influenced by a high-pressure system, then in the last days of October and the first days of November, the strong influence of the anticyclone will not be present," the meteorologist explained.

According to her, there will be "a certain decrease in atmospheric pressure and the arrival of atmospheric fronts from the north and northwest."

The expert specified that on October 30 and 31, as well as November 1, this will still be "not very pronounced, even with 'breaks'."

"November, in principle, begins (on the evening of the 1st, - Ed.) with these atmospheric fronts from the northwest... A more noticeable drop in temperature... Starting from November 2, atmospheric fronts will be more pronounced," she noted.

According to preliminary forecasts, until November 4 inclusive, "atmospheric fronts may still influence the territory of Ukraine."

"And starting from November 5, we expect high-pressure systems again. And the weather will predominantly be without precipitation ... Of course, the situation will still be clarified... But autumn weather will be fully felt starting in November," Ptukha added.

In conclusion, she mentioned that mixed precipitation (wet snow) is likely to occur soon only in the northeastern regions, according to current calculations.

"Of course, the situation may change. However, mixed-phase precipitation may already occur in northeastern Ukraine (Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv regions)," the meteorologist summarized.

Climatic Characteristics of November in Ukraine

According to the brief climatic characteristics of November released by the press service of the Ukrhydrometcenter on Facebook, the last month of autumn is a time of pre-winter, which begins after the average daily temperature drops below +5°C (mainly in the first decade of November).

Analyzing climatic conditions in November over past years (long-term weather patterns in November in Ukraine), meteorologists identified the following data:

  • average monthly air temperature - 0-4°C (in Transcarpathia and the south - locally 5-9 degrees above zero)
  • absolute minimum air temperature - 15-24 degrees of frost (in southern Crimea and Odessa region - 8-13 degrees of frost)
  • absolute minimum air temperature in some northern, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, eastern regions and in the Carpathians - 25-31 degrees of frost
  • absolute maximum air temperature - 6-24 degrees of warmth (in Crimea, Chernivtsi, central, southern regions, in Transcarpathia - locally 25-29 degrees of warmth)
  • average monthly precipitation - 35-63 mm (locally in mountainous areas - 70-108 mm, in the highlands of the Carpathians - up to 135 mm, locally in Prykarpattia and the southeast of the country - 29-34 mm).

According to the preliminary forecast by experts, during November 2024, it is possible:

  • average monthly temperature at the level of 1-8 degrees above zero (which is close to normal in most regions, only in the east and southeast of the country - slightly above normal)
  • monthly precipitation amount - at the level of 34-77 mm (in the Carpathians - locally 100 mm, which is within the norm)

Атмосферные фронты с северо-запада. Какой погоды ждать украинцам в начале ноябряАтмосферные фронты с северо-запада. Какой погоды ждать украинцам в начале ноября

Post from UkrGMC (screenshot: facebook.com/UkrHMC)

Recall that earlier we reported when Ukrainians should expect the first snow.

Also read what winter may be like in Ukraine this year.